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2024-12-13 05:28:34

European Central Bank: It is estimated that the GDP growth rate will be 0.7% in 2024, 1.1% in 2025, 1.4% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027. (It is expected to be 0.8%, 1.3% and 1.5% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 2.9% in 2024, 2.3% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026. (It is expected to be 2.8%, 2.3% and 2.0% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 1.9% in 2027.Black futures fell rapidly in the short term, with the main contracts of hot coil and coking coal falling by more than 1%, and the main contracts of coke, thread and iron ore falling by nearly 1%.Huachuang Securities: It was first rated as "recommended" by Zangge Mining, with a target price of 33.3 yuan. Huachuang Securities Research Report pointed out that Zangge Mining (000408.SZ) is an important producer of potassium lithium salt and copper in China, with a high dividend return to shareholders. The company actively arranges high-quality potash resources at home and abroad: three major projects, namely, Heibei potash mine in Dalangtan, Alkali-Shishan potash mine and the eastern part of deep brine potash mine in Xiaoliangshan-Dafengshan area, are steadily promoted in China, with a total exploration right of 1,400 square kilometers; Overseas has signed a potash exploration agreement with Laos. At present, the exploration report and potash mine reserve certificate have been obtained. It is estimated that the total amount of potassium chloride resources in Setani County and Ba 'e County is 984 million tons. It is estimated that the output of the first phase of potassium chloride project will be 1 million tons/year, and the scale of potassium chloride production is expected to double in the future. The company is an important manufacturer of potassium and lithium in China, and Julong Copper is expected to inject strong kinetic energy into the company's growth. Considering that Mamicho Mining has not been consolidated at present, it is estimated that the company will realize a net profit of 25.0/27.7/4.29 billion yuan in 24-26 years, which is -27%, +11% and +54.9% respectively. In 2025, it can be compared with the company's average valuation of 19 times, giving the company a valuation of 19 times in 2025, corresponding to the target price of 33.3 yuan, covering for the first time and giving a "recommended" rating.


China Chengtong and China Yizhong set up an enterprise management center with a capital contribution of 6.25 billion yuan. According to Tianyancha App, Zhongcheng (Beijing) Enterprise Management Center (Limited Partnership) was recently established. The executive partner is Yizhong Group Sunac Technology Development Co., Ltd., with a capital contribution of 6.25 billion yuan. The business scope is enterprise management and enterprise management consulting. It is owned by China Chengtong's Beijing Chengtong Capital Investment Co., Ltd., China Yizhong Group Co., Ltd. and its subsidiary Sunac Technology Development Co., Ltd.The European Central Bank gave up the idea of keeping interest rates "restrictive".Real estate stocks are active again and again. Huayuan Real Estate and Qixia Construction both have daily limit, while Huayuan Real Estate, Qixia Construction, Xinhualian and Xinhuangpu have daily limit, while Suzhou Gaoxin, China Wuyi and Shahe shares have followed suit.


ECB: The appropriate monetary policy stance will be determined by data dependence and successive meetings. Inflation prospect, core inflation and its transmission will determine the interest rate path.Reuters survey: Most economists believe that the tariff proposed by US President-elect Trump has little impact on the British economy; It is estimated that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025, and may cut interest rates by 25 basis points every quarter; A survey of 71 interviewed economists shows that the Bank of England's interest rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.75% on December 19th.Blinken arrived in Jordan to attend an emergency meeting on Syria. It is reported that US Secretary of State Blinken arrived in Jordan on Thursday to attend an emergency meeting on Syria. Blinken will meet with Jordanian Foreign Minister Assafadi and King Abdullah.

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